Closure of Coronavirus Spring School Saved Lives, Study Says


But other experts noted that the impact of preventive measures taken by states, including stay-at-home orders, the closure of nonessential restaurants and businesses, and limits on large social gatherings, simultaneously or shortly after school closings, made it difficult to determine the specific role. of schools in such analyzes.

“I think we have to be incredibly cautious when interpreting estimates from a study like this,” said Julie Donohue, a professor of public health at the University of Pittsburgh, who co-wrote an editorial about the study. “In particular, I think it’s important to emphasize that we really can’t isolate the impact of school closings from other interventions.”

Dr. Donohue added that “even if these numbers were accurate or valid, we do not know how much would result from reduced contact between children at school, compared to reduced contact between parents who have to stay in home from work because children don’t go to school. “

Given that the study is being released just as districts across the country are struggling over whether to reopen schools and how to do so, some experts expressed concern that their estimates of the impact of school closings at the start of the pandemic would be taken as an argument that schools should remain closed Public health and education experts have recommended that communities and schools work to reopen with strong health precautions, because in-person schooling is of great value to academic, social and emotional of children.

“I am concerned that these large estimates of the effect of school closings lead people to give up because it is going to be a challenge to open schools,” said Dr. Donohue. “I am concerned that some districts look at these numbers and say, well, it is too difficult and it is not safe to reopen.”

Analysis of cell phone mobility data in March by The New York Times and others revealed that people in some states began to spend more time at home and less time congregating in public spaces from days to weeks before they left. Official refuge orders will be issued at the site.

In the new report, an investigative team led by Dr. Auger analyzed case and death counts in all 50 states beginning March 7, before the first shutdown, and ending May 7, six weeks after latest closing orders. Some states closed their schools a week or more before implementing a more comprehensive blockade; others did it simultaneously or close to it. Covid-19 prevalence rates also varied widely, with states like New York and California at the high end and others, like Nebraska and Texas, at the low end.