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Scientists that make up the ICOVID Chile team warned that there are currently regions in the north and south of the country that present sources of contagion similar to those that Santiago had in May of this year, prior to the peak registered a month later.
Precisely, the Sixth Report of the initiative led by the University of Chile, the Pontifical Catholic University of Chile and the University of Concepción, warns that although the figures are contained in the capital, there are other areas where the pandemic is far from regressing.
The document provides a detailed analysis and data of the dimensions proposed to monitor the pandemic in the country, with information obtained until Sunday, September 13, provided through an agreement with the Ministry of Health and the Ministry of Science, Technology, Knowledge. and Innovation.
According to this latest report, coronavirus cases continue to increase in Chile, with particularly intense outbreaks in the regions of Atacama, Maule, La Araucanía, Los Ríos and Magallanes, where both the load and transmission rates reach very high levels (see box).
Meanwhile, hospital occupancy nationwide increased slightly to 78%, with regions with very high occupancy such as Atacama, Coquimbo, Bío Bío and Magallanes, showing situations out of control.
Likewise, positivity persists around 6% nationally, but with significant variations between regions. Precisely, Magallanes, O’Higgins, Maule, Los Ríos and La Araucanía registered an increase during the last week.
Same as Santiago prior to peak
For Guillermo Marshall, pro-rector of the Pontifical Catholic University of Chile, “the situation of the pandemic in the country continues to be critical and with very different dynamics in the different regions.”
“Meanwhile, in the Metropolitan region the burden of new infections and transmission remain high, but contained, some regions in the north and south of the country have very worrying sources of infections, similar to those observed in early May in Santiago.”
– Guillermo Marshall, Pro-rector PUC
Meanwhile, Alejandro Jofré, pro-rector of the University of Chile, emphasized that “the pandemic continues to grow, with a high point in the north and several in the south, which is very worrying since, in addition, the load and the speed of contagion they remain at critical levels (red) ”.
“This configures a state and dynamics that can trigger outbreaks in various regions. The way to get out of this dormant state of sprouts is to substantially improve traceability ”, he added.
The other figures
Regarding the dimension of contagion dynamics, at the national level, the number of new cases has increased from 10.95 to 12.04 per 100,000 inhabitants (weekly average).
Thus, this load indicator remains red (out of control), like last week, but reaches higher levels and similar to those of the first days of May during the rising phase of the first wave of the pandemic, it is warned in the report.
At the regional level, meanwhile, the indicator reaches red levels in all regions. In particular, the situation in the regions of Arica and Parinacota, which continues to be very high (24.3), in Atacama, which continues to rise (23.9), Maule with a significant increase (21.4), as well as Ñuble (19.9) and above all, Magallanes (124.7), says the report.
On the other hand, the transmission indicator (R) remains above threshold 1 at the national level, reaching an average value of 1.04 during the week. At the regional level, all regions keep a red transmission indicator in the last available measurement.
Particularly high are the average transmission levels in the regions of Aysén (1.87), Los Ríos (1.48), La Araucanía (1.15), Maule (1.23) and Atacama (1.16).
ICU beds
Finally, regarding the dimension of hospital capacity, the report reports an increase in hospital occupancy at the national level, reaching 78%, with regions with a very high occupancy, indicating a situation out of control in Antofagasta, Coquimbo, Bío Bío and Magallanes.
Meanwhile, the use of ICU beds by patients with COVID-19 is 65% nationwide, showing a slight improvement compared to last week. In the Metropolitan region, occupancy has remained stable at 48%, while the Coquimbo region presents a critical occupancy, out of control, and Tarapacá high with 76% occupancy.
Meanwhile, total hospitalizations due to COVID-19 in beds of all types continue to decrease nationally, keeping the indicator in green, according to the researchers.
Check the full report here
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