Advisory Board expert and record of new cases: It is the increase we expected as a peak



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After today’s balance was reported 888 new cases of coronavirus, the highest number in a day since the arrival of the pandemic in the country, the epidemiologist María Teresa Valenzuela, from the Covid-19 advisory council of the Ministry of Health, warned that the country is entering the peak, expected just for the end of April and the beginning of May.

“It is the increase that we expected to have as a peak of coronavirus in the country, but it is worrying and means that more than ever we have to work for the earliest possible detection, “said the vice-dean of the Faculty of Medicine of the University of Los Andes, in conversation with Lo Queda del Día.

Valenzuela stated that “Today we are no longer on the plateau that we had observed in the last 10 days; we are increasing day by day to get to this peak how much was advertised and that the different models that have been developed by various researchers have predicted that the less it was going to be end of April and the first 15 days of May

He explained, in this sense, that “we are in a phase of increasing cases because the virus came to live in highly populated places “, and he anticipated that “while it is affecting this population, such as the Metropolitan Region, in the south and south-west, where there is a much higher population density and agglomeration of people in the same household; and as long as we do not cut this chain, with case diagnosis what earliest possible and immediate isolation, we can continue to have it (spread of infection) until August “.

Symptomatic and asymptomatic cases

The expert also specified the controversy that the Minsal faced yesterday because the asymptomatic cases, which began to be tested after a change in criteria to expand detection, were initially reported separately from the total number of SARS-Cov-2 virus infections. , but finally added to the accumulated figure. In fact, from the record number reported today, 780 correspond to cases with Covid-19 symptoms and 108 to asymptomatic.

In this way, Valenzuela pointed out that “What we must compare at this time, with all the data that we had backwards, are the 780 cases because it is the symptoms that were investigated via PCR” and those that continue to maintain the first detection priority; however, “asymptomatic people are a very important group to have information.”

This being the case, and to avoid a massive increase in the number of people who come to undergo the PCR test, I advise that they should mainly do so. health personnel, the Armed Forces and those of Order and Security, basic service officials, those who serve the public, prison officials and those who work with older adults, in addition to those who have had contact with someone confirmed with coronavirus.

Meanwhile, he expressed his disagreement with the reopening of some shopping centers, such as the Apumanque (Las Condes) and the Paseo Santa Filomena (Patronato neighborhood, Recoleta): “Right now, it doesn’t seem like today, but I agree that there is a whole planning (to resume the activities), because nothing in the next times is going to be sudden and abrupt. “

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