More women than men and younger than older adults: this is how the approval vote is composed according to Cadem

Reading an election as key as this Sunday’s plebiscite requires a fundamental element: understand who the voters were behind each option. For some elections, the Servel has made the aggregated data available, but with a difference of several months. Because, the surveys become relevant in the days that follow.

The same sunday, The firm Cadem carried out a survey that reflected – with just one point of difference – the final result of the elections: 77% answered Approve and 23% Rejection, against 78.27% and 21.73% of the final calculation. And from that study, he made several crosses, one of which sought to point to how the votes of Approval and Rejection are composed. Elements of interest appear from the responses to analyze.

A key point in the composition of Chilean elections in recent decades, and particularly after the entry into force in 2012 of the automatic registration and voluntary voting system, points out that young people participate little in the elections.

This could have changed in the plebiscite. According to Cadem, 40% of the voters of the Approve are between 18 and 34 years old; 35% are between 35 and 54 years old, and 25% are older than 55 years. In terms of gender, women appear with a higher proportion than men (53% versus 47%).

Of the voters of this option, 72% said they had voted in 2017 for Alejandro Guillier and 28% for Sebastián Piñera; likewise, 93% indicated that they disapprove of the presidential administration. 46% said they did not profess any religion, 42% defined themselves as Catholic and 13% as evangelical. Something striking is that the weight between socioeconomic sectors is even, with all sharing between 31 and 37 percent of the total vote.

When doing the analysis in the opposite option, the Rejection voters appear balanced between men and women (51% to 49%). Unlike the Approve, their worst age group is between 18 and 34 years old (24%), and both the 35-54 age group and the 55+ age group weigh between 37% and 39% of the total.

50% of the voters correspond to the high socioeconomic sector and 16% to the low one. In turn, another piece of information of interest is that neither this group presidential approval is majority: 68% say they reject the president’s management.

And if in the Approve the majority defined themselves as not professing a religion, here the scenario is opposite: 81% of those who supported the Rejection claim to be Catholic or Evangelical.