Health

Biden leads Trump in polls: but COVID-19 can triple results

The team behind Economist 2020 election forecast They designed their model to consider many factors: surveys, economic conditions, presidential approval ratings, political polarization, the presence of a headline. What was not factored? “We are not trying to model the probability of a meteorite impact,” said Andrew Gelman, a professor of …

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How Trump went from a massive convention party to no party

But for Trump, who for months has resisted pleas to take the virus seriously, the decision reflected a sudden change in stance. During the past week, the President resurrected his reports on the coronavirus, urged people to wear masks, and admitted that the virus “will unfortunately, likely, get worse before …

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