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The department said they had always worked assuming the peak was around January 7.
Western Cape Health HOD Prime Minister Alan Winde and Dr. Keith Cloete at a virtual Covid-19 briefing. Image: Facebook
JOHANNESBURG – The Western Cape Department of Health said Tuesday that models tracking patterns of COVID-19 infections showed the province had officially entered the peak of the second wave.
The province now has more than 41,000 active cases, and the department said hospitalization and mortality data showed increases with early signs of stabilization in these rates.
The department said they had always worked under the assumption that the peak was around January 7.
Provincial Health Chief Dr. Keith Cloete said this was based on data observed in Nelson Mandela Bay and the Garden Route.
“We have entered the peak of the second wave with the first signs of stabilization, it is not that we have gone through the peak. Mortality from hospitalization continues to rise, but there are early indications that it may move to a plate. “
Cloete explains what exactly the peak means.
“A peak is when your rate of increase begins to decrease. So your seven day average … when you take the cases you had in the last seven days and divide them by seven and compare it to all the new cases in the previous seven days. The peak is when those two numbers start to be the same. ”
He adds that after the peak is when the last seven days become less than the previous seven days.
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