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US Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden speaks at a drive-in movie theater in Atlanta, Georgia, on October 27, 2020 (Photo: EPA-EFE / Curtis Compton / The Atlanta Journal-Constitution).
National election polls have Biden leading the way ahead of the 2020 U.S. presidential election, but many will recall that Hillary Clinton was also leading the way before the 2016 election.
The world saw Hillary Clinton go from hero to zero in 2016, despite winning the popular vote and leading many polls. The Clinton campaign learned a hard lesson from not just relying on survey data. Clinton’s defeat also showed that there is nothing better than running if you want people to choose you.
Joe Biden is in a stronger position now than Clinton was then. At least one survey has Biden at the helm in the key states of Arizona, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Florida. These are the states that gave Trump the presidency in 2016 despite Clinton getting the most popular votes.
Biden is aware that he needs Florida to win. Speaking at a drive-in movie theater in Broward County, Florida, on Thursday, October 29, he told fans:
“This election is the most important I’ve ever voted in, be it the first or the 10th. Ladies and gentlemen, the heart and soul of this country are at stake right here in Florida. “
Both Biden and Trump have been “running” across the country making at least eye contact with voters, which is the closest thing to shaking hands and kissing babies you can get in the middle of a pandemic. While the pandemic is a major stumbling block for Trump, as he is widely criticized for his (mis) handling of it, it has given Biden an advantage.
On Sunday, “Uncle Joe,” as some voters call him, told a crowd in Philadelphia in a parking lot at Sharon Baptist Church:
“Imagine where we would be if this president just wore a mask instead of poking fun at it from the start, I can tell you this, and all the major health experts agree with me, we would not have nine million cases of Covid in this nation. We would not have more than 230,000 dead, almost 9,000 here in Pennsylvania. “
Biden has kept the message on Covid-19, criticizing Trump’s handling of the crisis at every opportunity, but he is also always seen wearing a mask, in stark contrast to Trump, who almost never wears one.
Many voters also look back to the four years of Trump’s presidency and wonder if he has kept his promises, with a focus on health care, which is still up in the air as Trump continues to say that he will replace Obamacare, the Obama Care Act. Affordable Medical Care, but has not yet provided an alternative. The Trump administration is supporting a case in that the United States Supreme Court Arguments are scheduled to be heard on November 10. Depending on the ruling, that could be the end of the Affordable Care Act.
By listing the flaws, in addition to the handling of the coronavirus, which is first on the list, people are also looking at the famous “Wall” that is unfinished – and for all intents and purposes will remain so – while the policy of separating children of his parents on the border is on the minds of many people.
Trump, on the weekend, just 48 hours before the big day of the final vote, reminded people that he doesn’t plan to just walk away from the White House if he loses, which he basically started saying as early as March in an interview with Fox News.
He also came up at a press conference on September 23, when asked if he would accept the election result and replied, “Well, it depends on the result,” adding: “You know I’ve been complaining. Very strongly about the ballots. , and the ballots are a mess.“ He was referring to the voting-by-mail system, which he has repeatedly told voters not to trust, despite having a personal history of himself using the system, with no complaints or hiccups.
This aggressive stance is very reminiscent of 2016 when Trump, a few weeks before the election, said he would have no problem. accept the election result if he won.
About six weeks after calling the ballots “a disaster,” and with just two days to go, Trump told North Carolina media last Sunday that he he would be sending his lawyers as soon as the election is over on Tuesday night.
Trump has been saying for some time that the count of mail-in ballots that arrive after Election Day, even if postmarked before November 3, should not be counted.
A last minute email sent to voters around 2:00 p.m. on Monday, November 2 by the group 43 students of Joe Biden, a group of several hundred people who served in administration 43 (George W Bush), including Colin Powell, begs voters to leave their mark if they have not already done so:
“… Tomorrow is our last chance to vote for the America we want to see.
“For integrity over authoritarianism
“For decency over tribalism
“For principles about ‘winning’
“For leadership over the scapegoat.”
To quote Shakespeare, “the game is on,” but fans of America’s number one sport, American football, might well wonder if it will be won with a touchdown or a fumble. DM
An Wentzel is Night Editor, a journalist for the Daily Maverick, she went to the United States to visit her family when the pandemic struck and is currently abandoned in the land of the “free.”