WASHINGTON – As President Trump’s numbers have dwindled in recent weeks, our NBC News / Wall Street Journal poll shows that some of that erosion comes from his own party, among the GOP wing not Trump.
In short, Trump does not have a base problem. Rather, he has a republican problem.
According to the poll, 53 percent of all Republican voters say they consider themselves more Trump supporters than the party, while 39 percent say they are more party supporters than Trump.
And among this wing of the Republican non-Trump Party, only 54 percent approve of their management of the coronavirus (compared to 92 percent of Trump supporters); 46 percent approve of their management of race relations (versus 91 percent); And only 32 percent say they prefer a congressional candidate who focuses more on reopening businesses than on controlling the virus (compared to 69 percent).
Even on the presidential ballot, only 70 percent of the Republican Party’s non-Republican wing says they are voting for Trump (vs. 100 percent of Trump supporters), and only 64 percent say they are excited or comfortable with Trump’s candidacy (vs. 100 percent).
It can be easy to dismiss these non-Trump Republicans as a minority of the party.
But you need them if you want to win reelection.
And if Trump loses in November, they will have something to say in the future direction of his party.
The battle of atlanta
If Republicans think they have a political problem in the Atlanta suburbs, is this really the best way to fix it?
“The Governor of Georgia sued the Mayor of Atlanta on Thursday for that city’s mask law, a day after the Governor banned local governments from requiring covers that health experts say help stop the spread of COVID -19 “, according to NBC News.
“The state of Georgia continues to urge citizens to wear masks. This lawsuit is about the rule of law,” Georgia Attorney General Chris Carr said in a statement.
In “Today” this morning, Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms accused Republican Governor Brian Kemp of playing politics.
“I don’t think it’s a coincidence that this lawsuit came the day after Donald Trump visited Atlanta, and I pointed out that he was violating city law by not having a mask at Hartsville-Jackson Atlanta International Airport,” said Lance Bottoms. NBC’s Savannah. Guthrie
When Guthrie asked if Kemp was playing politics with his lawsuit, the mayor said yes: “Absolutely yes. I think he’s putting politics on people. “
Downloading data: the numbers you need to know today
3,597,548: The number of confirmed coronavirus cases in the United States, according to the latest data from NBC News and health officials. (That’s 77,010 more cases than yesterday morning).
139,333: The number of deaths in the United States from the virus so far. (That’s 978 more than yesterday morning).
43.35 million: The number of Coronavirus TESTS that have been administered in the United States so far, according to researchers from the COVID Monitoring Project.
$ 350 billion: How much Democrats want for minority communities in the latest coronavirus relief bill.
More than a million The number of coronavirus cases in India, which now ranks third in the world in infections.
Only 38 percent: The proportion of Americans who approve of the president’s handling of the coronavirus, according to a new poll by the ABC-Washington Post.
Tweet of the day
Vision 2020: unmasking the electorate, part 2
Last month’s NBC News / WSJ poll showed whether or not he wears a mask when in public tells him a lot about his 2020 vote.
And the same is true in our most recent poll in July, even as the percentage of voters who say they always wear a mask has increased.
In our poll, 74 percent of all registered voters say they always wear a mask when they are in public (up from 63 percent last month), and Joe Biden leads Trump by 29 points among these voters, 60 percent one hundred to 31 percent. (Biden’s lead here last month was 40 points.)
Fourteen percent of voters say they sometimes wear a mask, and Trump is ahead by 43 points, 66 percent to 23 percent. (There were 32 points last month).
And 11 percent of voters say they never or rarely wear a mask, and Trump leads here by a whopping 72 points, 83 percent to 11 percent. (It was 76 points last month).
Ben Kamisar Advertising Clock
Today’s Ad Watch confirms something many suspect: Remember those ads that attack Andrew Romanoff in the Colorado Senate Democratic primaries? Well, Majority Forward (the non-profit ally of the Senate Majority Fund, which had endorsed John Hickenlooper) was behind them.
It is far from the first time that an outside group formed in the last few weeks of a campaign reveals itself as a shell for the ambitions of a larger group. It’s a tactic both parties have relied on in recent years, with some recent, high-profile examples coming from the Democrats.
We’ve seen it in the 2017 Alabama Senate Special Election and earlier this cycle in North Carolina.
And it’s a good reminder now that we know that another mysterious group, tied to Democrats, is running ads in Kansas that appear to be pushing Republican Kris Kobach in the Republican Senate primaries for that state.
Read more from the MTP blog here.
Trading time
The next round of coronavirus relief is likely to exceed $ 1 trillion, according to the NBC Hill team: “Republicans and Democrats are now rethinking their negotiating positions, and Republicans privately recognize the Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell told colleagues that he believes that at least $ 1 billion is required on the next bill. Some at his conference want more, the sources said. “
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi suggested Thursday that the administration and Senate Republicans have set the number at $ 1.3 trillion, but repeatedly said “it is not enough” and that she and House Democrats will demand a larger number.
“First it was going to be without an invoice. And then it was going to be a small bill. Now it is 1.3, it is not enough. It is not enough, “Pelosi told reporters on Capitol Hill Thursday.
Unemployment benefits will run out for millions of Americans in late July, but it is not yet clear that the legislation will pass by then, and Pelosi has left open the possibility of keeping the House in session in the first week of August to pass he counts.
The Lid: America, the Beautiful?
Don’t miss yesterday’s pod, when we saw a finding in our latest poll on how voters rate the United States as a place to live.
ICYMI: What else is happening in the world?
NBC’s Jonathan Allen looks at what’s behind Trump’s accusation that Joe Biden wants to “abolish the suburbs.”
Trump’s niece claims she has heard him use racial and anti-Semitic insults.
Elizabeth Warren wants an investigation into the virus relief funds.
This is how the counties in NBC’s “County to County” project are in the coronavirus era.
Justin Amash will not seek reelection.
The New York Times asks if Ohio is perhaps at stake in 2020 after all.
The Washington NFL soccer team faces allegations of sexual harassment and a toxic culture, according to a new report by the Washington Post.
